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Amazon's Q4 Earnings Skyrocket, What’s Next for Investors?

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Daily Trade

Hey Daily Traders,

Today’s market buzz is all about impressive earnings and strategic developments that could shape future trends. Amazon has wowed investors with a stellar Q4 performance, reporting a remarkable $20 billion profit and a 9% stock gain this year. Meanwhile, Hershey’s stock surged 5% after exceeding expectations, although rising cocoa prices present challenges ahead. Paylocity also shined, surpassing earnings projections and offering optimistic guidance for future growth.

In real estate, Emmitt Smith's new retail center in South Carolina aims to enhance local commerce, while Simon Property Group bids farewell to a longtime leader. Over in crypto, Ondo Finance is making waves with its new blockchain for real-world assets, and Innovator Capital Management has launched a Bitcoin ETF designed with built-in loss protection. Exciting times ahead!

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Here's what's happening today:

Today in the Stock MarketToday in Real EstateToday in Crypto

Question

What do you think about Amazon's impressive earnings report—do you believe it can maintain this momentum in the face of potential economic challenges?

Reply to this email with your answer

Today in the Stock Market

Amazon Reports Impressive Q4 Earnings, Surpassing Expectations
Amazon.com Inc. recently announced its fourth-quarter earnings, showcasing a remarkable profit of $20 billion. This translates to earnings of $1.86 per share, significantly exceeding the Wall Street consensus estimate of $1.52 per share. Additionally, the company's revenue for the quarter reached $187.79 billion, which also surpassed analyst forecasts of $187.28 billion. This strong performance indicates Amazon's resilience and growth potential in the competitive e-commerce landscape.

Looking ahead, Amazon has projected revenue for the current quarter to fall between $151 billion and $155.5 billion. The company's stock has gained 9% since the start of the year, outperforming the S&P 500 index, which has seen a 3% increase. As of the latest trading session, Amazon shares reached $239.14, marking a notable 41% increase over the past year. These figures reflect the company's ability to adapt and thrive amid market fluctuations.

Amazon's positive earnings report reinforces its position as a leading player in the retail sector. Investors will be keen to monitor the company's performance in the upcoming quarters, especially as it navigates potential economic headwinds. The strong earnings and optimistic outlook could bolster investor confidence and further drive the stock's performance in the future.
Hershey Stock Surges After Strong Q4 Earnings Report
Hershey's stock experienced a notable increase recently, gaining approximately 5% following the release of its fourth-quarter financial results for 2024. The candy and snack giant reported net sales of nearly $2.9 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of nearly 9%. Furthermore, Hershey's net income for the quarter soared to nearly $800 million, more than doubling compared to the same period in 2023. This impressive performance, however, comes with caveats related to rising cocoa prices that could impact future profitability.

While Hershey's quarterly results exceeded expectations, the company faces ongoing challenges in the coming year. Management has indicated that net sales growth is expected to be modest, with projections of only a 2% increase in 2025. Additionally, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are anticipated to decline significantly, with estimates ranging from $6.00 to $6.18, down from an EPS of $9.37 in the past year. The candy industry is currently facing headwinds, making growth difficult for established players like Hershey.

Despite the challenges, Hershey's stock is trading at one of its lowest valuations in six years, suggesting that the market has already priced in many of the headwinds. Investors will be closely watching for any signs of improved growth or strategic initiatives that could enhance Hershey's market position and profitability in the future.
Paylocity Exceeds Earnings Projections in Fiscal Q2 Report
Paylocity Holding Corp. recently released its fiscal second-quarter earnings report, revealing a net income of $37.5 million, equating to 66 cents per share. When adjusted for one-time gains and costs, the earnings per share (EPS) rose to $1.52, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $1.39. The company's revenue for the quarter reached $377 million, also exceeding forecasts of $366.8 million, highlighting Paylocity's strong performance in the cloud-based payroll and HR software market.

Looking forward, Paylocity has provided optimistic guidance for the current quarter, expecting revenue to fall between $439 million and $444 million. For the full fiscal year, the company anticipates revenue in the range of $1.56 billion to $1.57 billion, indicating robust growth prospects. This positive outlook reflects Paylocity's continued expansion and its ability to capture market share in a competitive environment.

As businesses increasingly rely on technology for payroll and HR solutions, Paylocity's strong earnings and promising projections position it well for future growth. Investors will be monitoring the company's performance closely, particularly as it navigates the evolving landscape of workforce management and software solutions.

Today in Real Estate

Emmitt Smith's Firm to Launch Target-Anchor Retail Center
Emmitt Smith's Firm to Launch Target-Anchor Retail Center
A commercial real estate firm co-led by Dallas Cowboys legend Emmitt Smith is set to open a new shopping center in Lexington, South Carolina, featuring Target as its main retailer. The firm, 413 Solutions, has announced that the retail complex will be located at 2552 Augusta Highway, with a projected opening date in October 2026. Smith emphasized the potential for growth in Lexington, which is South Carolina's second-largest metro area, boasting a population of over 837,000 and an annual growth rate of 1.78%. The shopping center is designed to serve as a community hub, easily accessible from major highways and nearby supermarkets. David Mosley, co-founder of 413 Solutions, stated that the project represents a strategic investment in the region's economic future, aiming to enhance local retail and community activity. The development is expected to attract visitors and residents alike, positioning Lexington as a key player in the retail market of South Carolina.

Simon Property Group Announces Retirement of Herbert Simon
Herbert Simon has officially retired from his role as Chairman Emeritus of Simon Property Group, a leading global real estate investment trust. His retirement took effect on February 4, 2025, marking the end of a notable career that began 65 years ago. In his farewell statement, Simon reflected on the company’s growth under the leadership of his brother Mel and current CEO David Simon, expressing confidence in its continued prosperity. David Simon acknowledged Herbert’s invaluable contributions and unique insights, which have significantly shaped the company's trajectory. Simon Property Group is recognized for its ownership of premier shopping and mixed-use destinations across North America, Europe, and Asia, generating billions in annual sales. The company remains committed to enhancing community gathering spaces while adapting to the evolving retail landscape.

Toll Brothers Launches New Luxury Homes in Raleigh's Regency Community
Toll Brothers, a leading luxury home builder, has announced the grand opening of three new model homes at Regency at Auburn Station in Raleigh, North Carolina. The new offerings, including the Badin Modern Farmhouse, Dilworth Transitional, and Hemsworth Lexington models, highlight innovative architectural designs and a blend of luxury and contemporary aesthetics. This 55+ community is designed for active adults, featuring low-maintenance single-family homes on spacious lots. Homes range from 1,442 to over 2,800 square feet and boast modern amenities such as open floor plans and private garages. The community is strategically located near downtown Garner, providing residents with easy access to shopping and entertainment. Toll Brothers emphasizes that this development not only showcases luxury living but also fosters a warm community atmosphere with various resort-style amenities for residents.

Today in Crypto

Ondo Finance Unveils Layer-1 Blockchain for Real-World Assets
Ondo Finance Unveils Layer-1 Blockchain for Real-World Assets
Ondo Finance has announced the launch of its own layer-1 blockchain, Ondo Chain, aimed at integrating traditional capital markets with decentralized finance (DeFi). This initiative was unveiled at the inaugural Ondo Summit in New York City, with the intention of meeting institutional compliance standards while ensuring transparency akin to public blockchains like Ethereum. The new blockchain will utilize permissioned validators to verify transactions and maintain accurate financial data, including asset pricing and token backing, while also enabling staking of tokenized real-world assets.

CEO Nathan Allman emphasized the importance of upgrading financial markets, stating that the infrastructure necessary to merge traditional finance with blockchain technology has been lacking. The announcement follows a recent tokenization platform launch, which aims to facilitate the placement of stocks, bonds, and funds on blockchain rails. The potential for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) is significant, with projections suggesting this market could expand into trillions of dollars in the coming years.

Industry leaders like Larry Fink of BlackRock and Vlad Tenev from Robinhood have endorsed tokenized RWAs as a frontier for financial innovation. Ondo Finance, already a major player in tokenized U.S. Treasuries, is poised to capitalize on this trend, with its native token ONDO experiencing fluctuations in value following the announcement.
Innovator Launches Bitcoin ETF with 20% Loss Protection
Innovator Capital Management has introduced the Innovator Uncapped Bitcoin 20 Floor ETF (QBF), designed to provide investors with risk-managed exposure to Bitcoin. This ETF offers a unique structure that protects against losses exceeding 20% while allowing for uncapped upside potential. The launch comes in response to increasing demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs and a more favorable regulatory environment under the new presidential administration. The QBF ETF will have an 80% participation rate in Bitcoin's price movements over a quarterly outcome period.

Historically, Bitcoin has shown significant volatility, which can deter many investors. The QBF aims to mitigate downside risks while still capturing the asset's potential for high returns. Innovator's CIO, Graham Day, highlighted the ETF's appeal to investors who are interested in Bitcoin's growth but are cautious about potential losses. The ETF does not directly invest in Bitcoin but instead utilizes FLEX Options linked to Bitcoin ETFs listed on U.S. exchanges.

Innovator Capital Management, known for its Defined Outcome ETFs, is committed to providing innovative investment solutions that combine risk management with opportunities for growth. With over 130 ETFs and $23 billion in assets under management, Innovator continues to lead in the Defined Outcome ETF space, catering to the evolving needs of investors seeking exposure to cryptocurrencies.
reAlpha Tech Appoints Vijay Rathna as Chief Crypto Officer
reAlpha Tech Corp has appointed Vijay Rathna as its new Chief Crypto Officer, effective February 20, 2025. Rathna will oversee the company's blockchain and cryptocurrency initiatives, focusing on token strategy, blockchain integrations, and digital asset innovation. His extensive experience in information technology and blockchain architecture positions him well to drive reAlpha's efforts in integrating these technologies into its business model.

Before joining reAlpha, Rathna held a senior leadership role at Coretelligent, where he led the development of innovative blockchain solutions. He is also an Associate Professor at Columbia University, teaching courses on Blockchain and AI. His appointment signifies reAlpha's commitment to leveraging blockchain technology to enhance its real estate technology platform and align with the growing trend of digital asset adoption in various industries.

Giri Devanur, CEO of reAlpha, expressed enthusiasm about Rathna's appointment, highlighting his expertise and entrepreneurial spirit as valuable assets for the company. As reAlpha explores new avenues for integrating blockchain and AI technologies, further updates are expected by the end of the first quarter of 2025, reflecting the company's forward-thinking approach in the evolving tech landscape.

Today's Technical Analysis

Overvalued
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Volume: 2.19M shares | Price: $1,050.99

Technical Indicator Score: 88% Sell
Out of the 8 technical indicators used to analyze this stock, 7 indicated sell signals, 1 indicated a neutral signal.
RSI
Sell
MFI
Sell
WillR
Sell
AO
Sell
CCI
Sell
BBANDS
Sell
ULTOSC
Sell
STOCH
Hold

Overvalued
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
Volume: 13.45M shares | Price: $145.32

Technical Indicator Score: 88% Sell
Out of the 8 technical indicators used to analyze this stock, 7 indicated sell signals, 1 indicated a neutral signal.
RSI
Sell
MFI
Sell
WillR
Sell
AO
Sell
CCI
Sell
BBANDS
Sell
ULTOSC
Sell
STOCH
Hold

Overvalued
MKL
Markel Group Inc.
Volume: 187.4K shares | Price: $2,059.83

Technical Indicator Score: 88% Sell
Out of the 8 technical indicators used to analyze this stock, 7 indicated sell signals, 1 indicated a neutral signal.
RSI
Sell
MFI
Sell
WillR
Sell
AO
Sell
CCI
Sell
BBANDS
Sell
ULTOSC
Sell
STOCH
Hold

Overvalued
G
GENPACT LIMITED
Volume: 1.18M shares | Price: $49.40

Technical Indicator Score: 88% Sell
Out of the 8 technical indicators used to analyze this stock, 7 indicated sell signals, 1 indicated a neutral signal.
RSI
Sell
MFI
Sell
WillR
Sell
AO
Sell
CCI
Sell
BBANDS
Hold
ULTOSC
Sell
STOCH
Sell

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Technical Indicator Information

Relative Strength Index (RSI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 70 | Undervalued threshold: 30

Money Flow Index (MFI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 80 | Undervalued threshold: 20

Williams Percent Range (WillR) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: -20 | Undervalued threshold: -80

Aroon Oscillator (AO) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 75 | Undervalued threshold: -75

Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) | Period: 26/12/9 days | Overvalued threshold: MACD crosses below MACD Signal | Undervalued threshold: MACD crosses above MACD Signal

Stochastic Oscillator (STOCH) | Period: 14/3/3 days | Overvalued threshold: %K crosses below %D above 80 | Undervalued threshold: %K crosses above %D below 20

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) | Period: 20 days | Overvalued threshold: 100 | Undervalued threshold: -100

Bollinger Bands (BBANDS) | Period: 20 days | Overvalued threshold: price >= upper band | Undervalued threshold: price <= lower band

Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) | Period: variable 50 - 100 days | Overvalued threshold: SAR crosses above price | Undervalued threshold: SAR crosses below price

Triple Exponential Average (TRIX) | Period: 15 days | Overvalued threshold: TRIX crosses below 0 | Undervalued threshold: TRIX crosses above 0

Ultimate Oscillator (ULTOSC) | Period: 28/14/7 days | Overvalued threshold: 70 | Undervalued threshold: 30

Directional Movement Index (DMI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: PlusDI crosses below MinusDI | Undervalued threshold: PlusDI crosses above MinusDI

Average Directional Index (ADX) | Period: variable 14 days | Requirement: >= 25

Analysis is only performed on securities with market caps in excess of $100 million and with daily trade volume in excess of $50 million.

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