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California State University Launches Game-Changing AI Initiative

The
Daily Trade

Good morning.

Today’s newsletter dives into some fascinating developments across stocks, real estate, and crypto that could shape market dynamics. The California State University system is making waves by launching an AI initiative aimed at enhancing educational experiences for nearly half a million students and faculty, setting a precedent for tech integration in education. Meanwhile, O'Reilly Automotive and Allstate have impressed investors with strong earnings reports, showcasing resilience in their respective sectors despite broader market challenges.

In real estate, the Federal Reserve's upcoming stress tests will scrutinize banks' preparedness against potential downturns, while Mortgage Machine™ is gaining accolades for its innovative approach to digital mortgage origination. Lastly, the crypto space is buzzing with discussions around banking access and the launch of new Bitcoin ETFs that promise significant downside protection for investors. Let's unpack these stories!

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Here's what's happening today:

Today in the Stock MarketToday in Real EstateToday in Crypto

Question

What are your thoughts on the California State University's AI initiative—do you believe integrating AI in education will significantly enhance the learning experience for students and faculty?

Reply to this email with your answer

Today in the Stock Market

California State Universities Launch AI Initiative for Education
California State Universities Launch AI Initiative for Education
The California State University (CSU) system has embarked on an ambitious initiative to integrate artificial intelligence into higher education, collaborating with major tech firms like Google, Adobe, and Microsoft. This initiative aims to provide AI tools and training to approximately 460,000 students and 63,000 faculty members across its 23 campuses.

CSU officials believe that the integration of AI technologies will significantly enhance the educational experience, making advanced learning tools accessible to all stakeholders. The initiative is expected to position CSU as a leader in the responsible and equitable adoption of AI in education.

The rollout of AI tools, including a specialized version of ChatGPT for educational purposes, is anticipated to occur in the coming weeks. This strategic move not only aims to improve teaching and research capabilities but also to prepare students for the evolving job market in an AI-driven economy.
O'Reilly Automotive Surpasses Earnings Expectations in Q4
O'Reilly Automotive Inc. recently announced its fourth-quarter earnings, revealing a net income of $551.1 million and earnings per share of $9.50. The results exceeded Wall Street's expectations, with analysts predicting earnings of $9.71 per share. The company also reported a revenue of $4.1 billion, surpassing the forecast of $4.03 billion.

For the entire fiscal year, O'Reilly's profit totaled $2.39 billion, translating to earnings of $40.66 per share, while its revenue reached $16.71 billion. Looking ahead, O'Reilly anticipates full-year earnings to be between $42.60 and $43.10 per share, with projected revenue ranging from $17.4 billion to $17.7 billion.

The positive earnings report reflects O'Reilly's strong market position and operational efficiency in the auto parts retail sector. With a consistent growth trajectory, the company remains optimistic about its future performance, bolstered by a robust demand for automotive parts and services.
Allstate Reports Impressive Q4 Earnings Amid Market Growth
Allstate Corp. has reported a remarkable fourth-quarter net income of $1.93 billion, equating to earnings of $7.07 per share, which exceeds analysts' expectations of $6.51 per share. The company also disclosed an adjusted revenue of $16.71 billion, reflecting its strong financial performance in a competitive market.

Over the course of the year, Allstate's net income reached $4.67 billion, or $16.99 per share, marking a significant recovery in profitability. The total revenue for the year was reported at $64.33 billion, indicating a solid market presence and effective operational strategies.

Allstate's stock has shown resilience, climbing approximately 23% over the past year, outpacing the S&P 500 index's growth. This strong performance positions Allstate favorably as it aims to capitalize on future opportunities in the insurance sector.

Today in Real Estate

Federal Reserve's 2025 Stress Test Targets Real Estate Risks
Federal Reserve's 2025 Stress Test Targets Real Estate Risks
The Federal Reserve has announced its plans for the 2025 stress tests, focusing on the resilience of major banks against potential downturns in commercial and residential real estate markets. These tests are crucial for assessing how banks can withstand severe economic shocks, including a projected 33% drop in home prices and a 30% decline in commercial real estate values. The Fed's approach will also include an exploratory component to evaluate risks posed by non-bank financial entities and large hedge funds, which could impact bank stability.

In the upcoming tests, a spike in unemployment rates to 10% is anticipated, alongside significant declines in real estate values. The results of these stress tests will determine how much capital banks need to hold against potential losses, influencing their lending capabilities and overall market health. The Fed has emphasized the need for a more transparent testing process, aiming to mitigate volatility in results and enhance predictability for financial institutions.

As the economic landscape evolves, the Fed's proactive stance on stress testing underscores the importance of safeguarding financial stability, particularly in the face of challenges within the housing market. Stakeholders in the banking and real estate sectors will closely monitor these developments as they prepare for potential impacts on lending practices and market dynamics.
Mortgage Machine Earns Recognition for Tech Innovation in Real Estate
Mortgage Machine Earns Recognition for Tech Innovation in Real Estate
Mortgage Machine™ Services has achieved notable recognition by being included in HousingWire's annual TECH100 awards, marking its first appearance on this prestigious list of innovative technology providers in the mortgage and real estate sectors. The award highlights Mortgage Machine's commitment to enhancing efficiency and security in digital mortgage origination, showcasing its rapid client growth and technological advancements.

Over the past year, Mortgage Machine has achieved SOC 2® compliance, underscoring its dedication to maintaining high security and confidentiality standards. The company's platform has enabled significant growth for its clients, including one lender that increased its monthly loan volume from $10 million to $60 million within a mere 45 days. The introduction of Auto Split, an AI-driven enhancement, has further streamlined document processing, showcasing the company's innovative approach to mortgage technology.

With its all-in-one loan origination system designed to simplify complex mortgage processes, Mortgage Machine remains at the forefront of industry advancements. The recognition from HousingWire emphasizes the critical role of technology in transforming the housing sector, as companies like Mortgage Machine drive efficiency and improve client experiences in an increasingly digital landscape.
AvalonBay Communities Reports Disappointing Q4 Earnings
AvalonBay Communities Inc. has released its fourth-quarter earnings report, revealing that its funds from operations fell short of Wall Street expectations. The Arlington, Virginia-based real estate investment trust (REIT) reported funds from operations of $399.4 million, or $2.80 per share, which was below analyst projections of $2.83 per share. Despite reporting a net income of $282.1 million for the quarter, the revenue of $740.5 million also did not meet the anticipated $742.3 million.

For the full year, AvalonBay reported funds from operations totaling $1.57 billion, equating to $11.01 per share, with total revenue reaching $2.91 billion. Looking ahead, the company anticipates per-share funds from operations for the current quarter to range between $2.75 and $2.85, while full-year expectations are set between $11.14 and $11.64 per share. The company's shares have seen a modest increase of 2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500 index's 27% rise.

The disappointing earnings report raises questions about AvalonBay's performance amidst a competitive real estate market. Investors will be keen to see how the company adapts to ongoing challenges and whether it can regain momentum in the coming quarters. The focus will also be on the broader implications for the REIT sector as it navigates fluctuating demand and evolving market conditions.

Today in Crypto

GOP Senators Seek Accountability for Banking Access Issues
GOP Senators Seek Accountability for Banking Access Issues
In a recent Senate Banking Committee hearing, Republican lawmakers voiced their concerns over the issue of 'debanking' and sought to hold regulators accountable for the challenges faced by certain customers in accessing banking services. The hearing highlighted the tension between financial institutions and regulatory bodies, with GOP senators arguing that banks should have the autonomy to serve any demographic they choose. This perspective contrasts with the existing fair lending laws that prohibit discriminatory practices in banking.

The debate over debanking has gained traction within the Republican party, particularly following comments from tech leaders like Marc Andreessen, who have expressed frustrations about difficulties in accessing banking services. During the hearing, senators emphasized that regulatory pressures have contributed to banks' hesitance to work with specific industries, particularly those in the cryptocurrency sector. This has led to claims that regulators are stifling innovation and access in the financial system.

While some Democratic lawmakers agreed on the need for increased access to banking services, they disagreed with the Republicans on the root causes of debanking. Senator Elizabeth Warren articulated the importance of protecting consumers from unjust banking practices, arguing that regulatory agencies should work to ensure that all individuals have fair access to their accounts. The hearing underscores the ongoing tension between regulatory oversight and the banking industry's operational freedoms, a debate that is likely to continue as the financial landscape evolves.
Block, Inc. Faces Legal Scrutiny Over Cash App Practices
Block, Inc., formerly known as Square, is currently embroiled in a securities class action lawsuit following a series of investigations that have raised serious concerns about its Cash App platform. The legal troubles began after Hindenburg Research published a critical report in March 2023, alleging that the company had significantly overstated its user counts and that its services were being exploited by criminals. As regulatory scrutiny intensified, Block has faced inquiries from the SEC and DOJ regarding its compliance practices and potential lapses in due diligence. Investors who suffered losses during the class period from February 2020 to April 2024 are being urged to come forward as the investigation unfolds.

In early 2025, Block agreed to pay significant fines totaling $255 million to various regulatory bodies, including $80 million to state regulators and $175 million to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. These fines were imposed due to allegations of inadequate measures to prevent fraud and money laundering through its Cash App service. The CFPB found that Cash App had misled users and failed to implement effective identity verification processes, which allowed for widespread fraudulent activities.

The ongoing investigations and legal challenges have adversely affected Block’s stock price, compelling the company to cooperate with regulatory agencies while facing the possibility of further legal repercussions. Hagens Berman, the law firm leading the class action, is investigating whether Block misled investors about its operational practices, and it remains to be seen how these developments will impact the company's future and investor confidence.
Calamos Launches Groundbreaking Bitcoin ETFs with Downside Protection
Calamos Investments has recently announced the successful launch of two innovative Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that offer significant downside protection for investors. The newly introduced ETFs, CBXJ and CBTJ, provide 90% and 80% downside protection, respectively, while allowing for substantial upside growth potential in Bitcoin investments. The initial cap rates for these funds are set at 29.15% for CBXJ and an impressive 51.50% for CBTJ, marking a significant advancement in risk-managed Bitcoin investment strategies.

The introduction of these ETFs is part of Calamos' broader strategy to bridge traditional finance with the burgeoning digital asset market, catering to investors who seek exposure to Bitcoin while minimizing risk. These funds are designed to track the performance of the CBOE Bitcoin US ETF Index over a one-year outcome period, allowing investors to benefit from Bitcoin's growth while maintaining defined risk parameters. Calamos aims to provide a transparent and liquid investment structure that alleviates concerns regarding counterparty credit risk.

With the launch of CBXJ and CBTJ, Calamos expands its offerings of Protected Bitcoin ETFs, which already includes a 100% downside protection ETF launched in 2024. The firm continues to innovate in the financial services sector, demonstrating its commitment to providing investors with a range of options tailored to their risk tolerance and investment objectives. As the market for digital assets continues to evolve, these ETFs may attract significant interest from both retail and institutional investors.

Today's Technical Analysis

Overvalued
HIMS
Hims & Hers Health, Inc.
Volume: 17.21M shares | Price: $42.20

Technical Indicator Score: 100% Sell
Out of the 8 technical indicators used to analyze this stock, 8 indicated sell signals.
RSI
Sell
MFI
Sell
WillR
Sell
AO
Sell
CCI
Sell
BBANDS
Sell
ULTOSC
Sell
STOCH
Sell

Undervalued
OLN
Olin Corp.
Volume: 2.76M shares | Price: $26.71

Technical Indicator Score: 88% Buy
Out of the 8 technical indicators used to analyze this stock, 7 indicated buy signals, 1 indicated a neutral signal.
RSI
Buy
MFI
Buy
WillR
Buy
AO
Buy
CCI
Buy
BBANDS
Buy
ULTOSC
Buy
STOCH
Hold

Overvalued
WMT
Walmart Inc.
Volume: 14.48M shares | Price: $102.46

Technical Indicator Score: 88% Sell
Out of the 8 technical indicators used to analyze this stock, 7 indicated sell signals, 1 indicated a neutral signal.
RSI
Sell
MFI
Sell
WillR
Sell
AO
Sell
CCI
Sell
BBANDS
Sell
ULTOSC
Sell
STOCH
Hold

Overvalued
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Volume: 1.97M shares | Price: $1,042.88

Technical Indicator Score: 88% Sell
Out of the 8 technical indicators used to analyze this stock, 7 indicated sell signals, 1 indicated a neutral signal.
RSI
Sell
MFI
Sell
WillR
Sell
AO
Sell
CCI
Sell
BBANDS
Sell
ULTOSC
Sell
STOCH
Hold

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Technical Indicator Information

Relative Strength Index (RSI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 70 | Undervalued threshold: 30

Money Flow Index (MFI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 80 | Undervalued threshold: 20

Williams Percent Range (WillR) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: -20 | Undervalued threshold: -80

Aroon Oscillator (AO) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: 75 | Undervalued threshold: -75

Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) | Period: 26/12/9 days | Overvalued threshold: MACD crosses below MACD Signal | Undervalued threshold: MACD crosses above MACD Signal

Stochastic Oscillator (STOCH) | Period: 14/3/3 days | Overvalued threshold: %K crosses below %D above 80 | Undervalued threshold: %K crosses above %D below 20

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) | Period: 20 days | Overvalued threshold: 100 | Undervalued threshold: -100

Bollinger Bands (BBANDS) | Period: 20 days | Overvalued threshold: price >= upper band | Undervalued threshold: price <= lower band

Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) | Period: variable 50 - 100 days | Overvalued threshold: SAR crosses above price | Undervalued threshold: SAR crosses below price

Triple Exponential Average (TRIX) | Period: 15 days | Overvalued threshold: TRIX crosses below 0 | Undervalued threshold: TRIX crosses above 0

Ultimate Oscillator (ULTOSC) | Period: 28/14/7 days | Overvalued threshold: 70 | Undervalued threshold: 30

Directional Movement Index (DMI) | Period: 14 days | Overvalued threshold: PlusDI crosses below MinusDI | Undervalued threshold: PlusDI crosses above MinusDI

Average Directional Index (ADX) | Period: variable 14 days | Requirement: >= 25

Analysis is only performed on securities with market caps in excess of $100 million and with daily trade volume in excess of $50 million.

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The information in our newsletter is not intended to constitute investment advice and is not designed to meet your personal financial situation. It is provided for information purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor or a group of investors. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described will be profitable. We strongly advise you to discuss your investment options with your financial advisor prior to making any investments, including whether any investment is suitable for your specific needs.

Although we obtain information contained in our newsletter from sources we believe to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its accuracy. The analysis provided in this newsletter is based on the prior trading day’s closing prices and may not reflect after-hours trading, earnings announcements, or other significant market events that occur outside regular trading hours. As such, any data or commentary may not fully capture the latest market movements or emerging factors. For the most current and comprehensive view, please consider additional sources or consult with a qualified financial professional.

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